The U.S. War in the Middle East: How Can Peace Be Achieved?
By: Tri Lukman Hakim, S.H. (Founder of KunciPro Research Institute)
The military escalation by the United States in the Middle East has once again shaken the world with warnings of war throughout early 2026. Washington's decision to deploy a second aircraft carrier to the conflict zone, accompanied by spy drone maneuvers along Iran's borders, sends a clear signal of danger to global stability.
Amidst this display of armed force and the embarrassing collision of two U.S. warships, the global public is faced with one critical question: In the vortex of United States warfare in the Middle East, how can peace be achieved if the language of diplomacy has been replaced by the muzzles of cannons?
As an independent research institution, KunciPro views this conflict not merely as an ordinary geopolitical incident, but as tangible evidence of the collapse of adherence to international law.
Full Batteries and the Illusion of Armed Diplomacy
It is difficult to discuss peace when one party actively implements Gunboat Diplomacy. Mainstream reports (e.g., Metro TV, 06/02/2026) regarding U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by regional states often center on the fear of direct military conflict. Meanwhile, ANTARA News (12/02/2026) noted the Pentagon’s confirmation regarding the preparation of additional combat fleets.
In response to these mainstream reports, KunciPro identifies a distinct sociological pattern. The diplomatic paralysis in the Middle East was previously predicted through our research, "The Cracking of the UN as the World’s Anchor of International Law."
In that analysis, KunciPro introduced the "Charging Phase" methodology. The UN and the post-WWII international legal order are essentially temporary ceasefire vessels—a "Charging Phase" for global giants to recover their economies and consolidate military power.
When the "hegemonic battery" of a superpower like the U.S. reaches 100%, they no longer feel the need to submit to the world's "referee" (the UN). The maneuver of aircraft carriers near Iranian waters today is proof that they have unplugged the "charger cable" of international law because they feel strong enough to act unilaterally.
How Can Peace Be Achieved?
Borrowing from geopolitical analysis (Kompas.id, 12/02/2026) regarding the rejection of the Iran nuclear deal by U.S. allies, it is clear that true peace will not be born from a forced ceasefire. To stop the cycle of violence, the world requires systemic deconstruction, not just a "rusted" global anchor. Here are three pillars for a real solution:
1. Symmetrical De-escalation and Fleet Withdrawal
An absolute step toward peace is removing the source of the threat. The U.S. must withdraw its additional fleets from high-conflict waters. In humanitarian law, provoking an opponent with a massive military presence at the border (while the "battery" is full) only triggers a pre-emptive strike.
2. Challenging the Global "VVIP Club" Oligarchy
Achieving peace depends on the world's rejection of "Pay-to-Win" diplomacy. Initiatives like the "Board of Peace" only worsen global fragmentation. Sovereignty violations must be adjudicated through an independent International Court of Justice, not settled through transactional lobbying by countries wielding veto power.
3. Breaking the "Military-Industrial Complex" Chain
Sociologically, we must audit who actually benefits from this war. Middle East conflicts are often deliberately maintained to sustain the military-industrial complex. Lasting peace can only be achieved if global nations impose a two-way arms embargo and stop sponsoring proxy wars for the sake of energy route control.
Conclusion: A New Order Beyond the "Rusted Anchor"
The world is experiencing a cyclical pattern. Previously, world wars occurred because powerful nations had abundant resources; their "batteries" were full, and they needed to "refresh" their war machinery. When their ammunition was depleted, the UN was formed—not for true peace, but as an agreement to "recharge."
This is evidenced by post-WWII nations racing to build nukes and weapons of mass destruction. If the world were truly at peace, why the massive military buildup if not to fill a vacant "charge"?
The global order must not bow to the arrogance of military "batteries." Operational failures—such as the recent U.S. fleet collision—should remind Washington that no matter how powerful a war machine is built, it will eventually collapse under its own complexity. Peace in the Middle East demands a new world order where international law is respected, not merely used as a temporary stopover when strength is low.
This article is an official English translation of the geopolitical analysis by KunciPro Research Institute. View the original Indonesian version here: Perang Amerika Serikat di Timur Tengah: Bagaimana Cara Damai?